I know 2012 polls in mid-2009 are almost useless, but I can’t help but get excited about Mitt being tied with Obama just six months into his presidency.
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, President Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.
The biggest rumor floating around is that if Romney won the GOP nomination, Palin would run as an independent candidate. Many of the Palinistas think this is a brilliant idea, even though her doing so would ensure Obama another four years in office. You want proof? Here it is:
Just 21% of voters nationwide say Palin should run as an independent if she loses the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee should not run as an independent. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.
If Romney secured the GOP nomination and Palin chose to run as an independent candidate, Obama would win the resulting three-way race with 44% of the vote. Romney is the choice of 33% of the voters under that scenario, with Palin a distant third with 16% support.
Here are some more tidbits about the poll:
- When Romney is the Republican nominee, he beats Obama among unaffiliated voters 48% to 41%. But when Palin is the GOP candidate, unaffiliated voters prefer Obama by a 47% to 41% margin.
- Men prefer the Republican over Obama whether it’s Romney or Palin
- Women like the president better in both match-ups
- Palin continues to fare more poorly among women than her male rivals
- In a three-way race, Palin hurts Romney by drawing 28% Republican support. Romney captures 52% of the GOP vote in that scenario.
- In a three way race, unaffiliated voters break 40% for the president, 39% for Romney and 14% for Palin.