Oh my: Obama and Romney tied in prospective 2012 poll

I know 2012 polls in mid-2009 are almost useless, but I can’t help but get excited about Mitt being tied with Obama just six months into his presidency.

From Rasmussen:

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, President Obama and possible Republican nominee Mitt Romney would be all tied up at 45% each, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

The president, seeking a second four-year term, beats another potential GOP rival, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, by six points – 48% to 42%.

The biggest rumor floating around is that if Romney won the GOP nomination, Palin would run as an independent candidate. Many of the Palinistas think this is a brilliant idea, even though her doing so would ensure Obama another four years in office. You want proof? Here it is:

Just 21% of voters nationwide say Palin should run as an independent if she loses the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee should not run as an independent. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.

If Romney secured the GOP nomination and Palin chose to run as an independent candidate, Obama would win the resulting three-way race with 44% of the vote. Romney is the choice of 33% of the voters under that scenario, with Palin a distant third with 16% support.

Here are some more tidbits about the poll:

  • When Romney is the Republican nominee, he beats Obama among unaffiliated voters 48% to 41%. But when Palin is the GOP candidate, unaffiliated voters prefer Obama by a 47% to 41% margin.
  • Men prefer the Republican over Obama whether it’s Romney or Palin
  • Women like the president better in both match-ups
  • Palin continues to fare more poorly among women than her male rivals
  • In a three-way race, Palin hurts Romney by drawing 28% Republican support. Romney captures 52% of the GOP vote in that scenario.
  • In a three way race, unaffiliated voters break 40% for the president, 39% for Romney and 14% for Palin.

(HT: HotAir)


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