Ok, so maybe the SurveyUSA poll yesterday wasn’t a crazy outlier.
From PPP Polling:
Carly Fiorina’s superior resources always had the potential to blow her opponents for the California Republican Senate nomination out of the water, and in the closing stretch that appears to be exactly what’s happening. Fiorina has now opened up a 20 point lead with 41% to 21% for Tom Campbell and 16% for Chuck DeVore.
It’s hard to build name recognition in a state as big and expensive as California, and Fiorina is the only one of the Senate candidates who’s known to more than half of Republican primary voters. 46% have a favorable opinion of her to 17% with a negative one and 37% having no opinion.
By comparison 54% of voters have no opinion about Campbell to 28% with a positive one and 19% with an unfavorable one, and DeVore is even less well known with 62% having no opinion about him to 24% with a favorable one and 14% with a negative one.
Campbell actually leads the way among moderate voters, 32-30 over Fiorina. But Campbell is a distant third among conservatives with 15%, running slightly behind DeVore at 19% and way behind Fiorina’s 47% standing. The attacks on Campbell’s moderation are clearly proving to be effective.
There’s actually an article in the L.A. Times today about how Conservative groups are planning to ramp up their attacks even more on Campbell. Here’s an excerpt:
Senate candidate Tom Campbell has long argued that, in an election season marked by economic concerns and anger at Washington, his moderate social views won’t cost him the support of largely conservative Republican primary voters. That theory is about to be tested.
Three outside groups are stepping into the GOP race to try to drive home the message that the former congressman’s views on same-sex marriage and abortion rights — he favors both — and on gun rights, where he favors some restrictions, are at odds with the voters who will decide the party’s nominee June 8.
Meanwhile, DeVore just hangs back in third place. A few days ago, I was worried he’d split the Conservative vote and cost Fiorina the nomination. Needless to say, that worry has abated.